The secret document of the German Defense Ministry outlines the possible development of the conflict between Russia and NATO, culminating in the deployment of hundreds of thousands of NATO soldiers and the inevitable outbreak of war in the summer of 2025.
NATO is preparing for a major Russian attack on its eastern flank. Bild writes about this, citing a secret document from the Bundeswehr.
The scenario starts in February 2024, when Russia will allegedly launch another wave of mobilization and draft an additional 200,000 people into the army. It then assumes that the Kremlin will allegedly launch a spring offensive in Ukraine, which, according to the scenario in the document, will push the Ukrainian army back by June.
According to the scenario, Russia’s covert attack on the West will begin in July. Over time, it will become more apparent. The Bundestag is simulating cyberattacks and other forms of hybrid warfare during this period, mainly in the Baltic states, as well as clashes that Russia will use as a pretext to launch large-scale exercises on its territory and in Belarus.
Then, according to the scenario, in October, there could be an escalation if Russia deploys troops and medium-range missiles to Kaliningrad. And from December 2024, an artificially caused “border conflict” and “riots with numerous victims” are expected in the Suwalki Corridor area.
It is also modeled that at a time when the United States may be left without a leader for several weeks after the election, Russia, with the support of Belarus, repeats the 2014 invasion of Ukraine on NATO territory. And in May 2025, NATO decides on deterrence measures, and on “Day X,” NATO deploys 300,000 troops, including 30,000 Bundeswehr soldiers, to the eastern flank.
